Posted
originally on July 1, 2011 at the Aite Group Blog
Dodd-Frank has opened a door to U.S. banks to offer retail
currency trading (aka FX or Forex) as of July 22, 2011, but is about to close
that same door to U.S. securities firms. Although theoretically securities
firms will still be able to offer FX, the Securities and Exchange Commission is
not likely to pass retail FX rules by the July 15 deadline to prevent its
registrants from being shut out of FX, a lucrative business with significant
growth potential.
Some firms affected by this likely SEC inaction include Charles
Schwab, T.D. Ameritrade, E*Trade, and Interactive Brokers. As of July 16, only
a dozen or so CFTC-registered FX dealers and Citibank (the only registered bank
for now) will be able to offer retail FX to clients. To our knowledge,
CFTC-registered futures commodity merchants (FCMs) not registered as a retail
foreign exchange dealer (RFED) will also have to stop offering retail FX.
SEC firms currently offering retail FX like Interactive Brokers
and CFTC-registered like MF Global will have to refer retail FX business to
authorized firms. It is hard to quantify the potential loss in assets and
trading revenue for these firms, but it is likely in the millions. For the big
securities firms that were just starting to operate in the business, like
Charles Schwab through OptionsXpress and TD Ameritrade through thinkorswim, the
losses will be considerable.
The options the SEC has at this point are three: 1) do nothing and
let what was described above occur — this is the most likely outcome; 2)
approve FINRA regulation 09-06 “as-is” or with modifications; and 3) pass its
own set of retail FX rules without a comment period – Dodd-Frank allows
regulators the flexibility to pass rules without public comment if required by
the lack of time or resources. If the SEC does decide to pass new retail FX
rules (which would be the right decision in this author’s view), these rules
will likely be similar to what the CFTC has passed, and would level the playing
field across regulators and not put SEC registrants at a disadvantage.
SEC broker/dealers (B/D) have no options in this matter, but there
is a caveat. While the CFTC prevents SEC B/D from circumventing the law and
offering retail FX as a FCM BD, there is nothing that would keep the parent of
the B/D to register a RFED entity, or even to use some of the backoffice staff
of the B/D for the new RFED. Securities firms that have banks in their
operating group could use those banks as a way to offer retail FX as soon as
these units are approved by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and
FDIC to do so.
Of course, there are more intricacies than those we can explain
here, but the good news for SEC firms is that they could still participate in
retail FX outside of the SEC — if it comes to that.
NB. On the 11th
hour (July 13, 2011), the SEC released "temporary final" rules for
retail FX, thus averting the issues raised on this entry.
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